National Trends, the policy scenario
In the National Trends scenario, the development of the gas demand follows the recommendation of the National Energy and Climate Plans of the respective Member States. In general, the overall gas demand for final use generally decreases over time while the gas demand for power increases, partly resulting from the coal to gas switch in the power sector. On the production side, the European natural gas production is declining and biomethane and, to a limited extent, power to gas production is developing. However, the development of renewable gases is not sufficient to compensate the decline of the conventional gas production and Europe relies more and more on imports. Therefore, the use of the gas infrastructure is based on the principle of main supply corridors to satisfy the European gas demand.