Only few countries are passing 20 % threshold in SSDi – NP (beside of Distributed Energy 2040 where all countries are scoring for CSA mostly due to the significant penetration of renewable and decarbonised gas production)). Only Ireland and Romania are passing 20 % in all years and scenarios. Bulgaria, Greece and North Macedonia are passing the 20 % threshold in all scenarios and years except Best Estimate 2020. In other countries in some specific years and scenarios the threshold is passed (see detailed SSDi charts).
SSDi NOThe Norwegian supply has a significant maximum potential and is connected to countries which are well connected to the European market. This combination allows a large number of EU countries to benefit from a decrease in the Norwegian gas price.
Across all scenarios, the assessment confirms that most of the European countries are able to benefit from decrease in price of Norway gas besides Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania, North Macedonia, Portugal, Romania and Spain. In Global Ambition 2040 Spain and Portugal are passing threshold as well.
Most of the countries can benefit in case of decrease in the LNG price, allowing them to pass 20 %. In Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Germany, Hungary, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia and Sweden situation is changing across scenarios and years and it can be tracked on detailed SSDi charts below. Most of the changes are in Global Ambition and National Trends scenarios.